Serie B Playoffs Final
Global 1-2
Cittadella vs Venezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
27.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2021 |
ASS
2 - 0
CTT
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
CTT
3 - 0
ASS
54%
24%
23%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 0
BRE
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 1
VNZ
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 0
CTT
32%
27%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Venezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 1
VNZ
55%
22%
23%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
VNZ
1 - 0
LEC
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
VNZ
3 - 2
CHI
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 1
VNZ
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
VNZ
0 - 0
POR
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |