Cittadella vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
COS
2 - 1
CTT
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CTT
3 - 0
ASS
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
SAM
2 - 0
CTT
84%
11%
5%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ANC
1 - 1
CTT
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2001 |
CTT
0 - 0
SIE
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
AVE
3 - 0
SAM
15%
22%
63%
|
58 | 79 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
ASS
2 - 1
AVE
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 0
MES
42%
29%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
CAS
1 - 1
AVE
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2001 |
AVE
0 - 0
GIU
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |