Cittadella vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
53.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
3 - 2
MOD
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
SOR
2 - 1
CTT
35%
30%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CTT
2 - 0
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
VIR
1 - 1
CTT
41%
29%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
CTT
2 - 0
GIU
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
ACL
1 - 2
TER
21%
23%
57%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2005 |
TER
3 - 2
FCC
70%
21%
10%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
CES
2 - 0
TER
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
TER
1 - 1
TOR
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
PES
1 - 1
TER
33%
25%
42%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |