Cittadella vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
23.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2004 |
CTT
2 - 1
VIS
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
MAR
0 - 0
CTT
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
CTT
1 - 1
SSS
41%
27%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
AVE
2 - 0
CTT
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
CTT
1 - 1
CHI
54%
26%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 3
PAD
44%
28%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
SPA
0 - 0
NAP
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
FER
0 - 0
SPA
38%
29%
33%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 2
VIR
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
VIS
0 - 0
SPA
30%
30%
40%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | -1 |