Cittadella vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
19.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
PIS
2 - 0
CTT
42%
27%
30%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CTT
1 - 1
TRE
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
ABN
2 - 4
CTT
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +2 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
CTT
1 - 1
PAD
43%
26%
31%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ASL
3 - 1
CTT
39%
29%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
SPA
2 - 1
CAR
59%
23%
18%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 2
SPA
45%
28%
27%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 3
TRE
36%
27%
36%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2003 |
CES
0 - 0
SPA
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SPA
3 - 0
ACL
46%
27%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |