Cittadella vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
40.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 2
CTT
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 2
PES
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MOD
3 - 0
CTT
40%
27%
32%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NOC
0 - 1
CTT
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CTT
0 - 2
BRE
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
0 - 0
ASC
75%
18%
8%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
SAS
0 - 0
SAM
38%
29%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
1 - 0
EMP
74%
18%
9%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SAM
2 - 0
VER
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
SAM
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |