Cittadella vs Salernitana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
37.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
CTT
3 - 1
AVE
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
COS
2 - 1
CTT
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CTT
3 - 0
ASS
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
SAM
2 - 0
CTT
84%
11%
5%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
ANC
1 - 1
CTT
64%
20%
16%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Salernitana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
EMP
3 - 0
SAL
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
SAL
2 - 0
SAM
27%
26%
48%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
ANC
3 - 1
SAL
47%
24%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
SAL
3 - 0
CAT
62%
22%
17%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2001 |
SAL
0 - 2
TOR
32%
27%
41%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |