Cittadella vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
52.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
VIC
2 - 1
CTT
83%
12%
5%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
CTT
4 - 4
SAL
36%
27%
37%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
CTT
3 - 1
AVE
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
COS
2 - 1
CTT
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
CTT
3 - 0
ASS
49%
24%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2001 |
REG
2 - 0
SAM
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
REG
4 - 1
COM
57%
26%
17%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2001 |
MOD
3 - 0
REG
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
ANC
1 - 0
REG
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
ACL
1 - 1
REG
14%
24%
62%
|
78 | 55 | 23 | -1 |