Cittadella vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
6.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CUN
0 - 2
CTT
13%
23%
64%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
CTT
2 - 3
FCS
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
USC
0 - 1
CTT
28%
27%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CTT
0 - 2
FER
71%
19%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2015 |
CTT
2 - 1
BV5
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 0
PAV
18%
24%
58%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 1
REN
44%
26%
31%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 1
PRO
60%
23%
18%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PRO
1 - 0
USC
17%
24%
59%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
FCS
2 - 1
PRO
70%
20%
11%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | 0 |