Cittadella vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
30.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
RIM
1 - 0
CTT
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
CTT
0 - 0
FRO
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2008 |
PAR
1 - 0
CTT
70%
20%
11%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CTT
2 - 0
BRE
27%
28%
46%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
GRO
1 - 1
CTT
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
PIA
1 - 0
VIC
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
MAN
0 - 0
PIA
53%
27%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
PIA
1 - 0
PIS
41%
27%
33%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
PIA
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
PIA
0 - 2
TRI
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |