Cittadella vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.6%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
9.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
UNI
1 - 1
CTT
30%
29%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
CTT
0 - 1
ASS
55%
25%
19%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CTT
0 - 0
FOL
62%
23%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
VNZ
1 - 1
CTT
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
LEC
0 - 0
CTT
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 0
CAV
34%
28%
39%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
VER
0 - 0
PAG
61%
24%
16%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
VNZ
1 - 0
PAG
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
PAG
1 - 1
SSM
40%
26%
33%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
PAG
0 - 0
TER
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |