Cittadella vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
29.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
LEO
1 - 5
CTT
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CTT
2 - 0
TER
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
CTT
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CTT
1 - 2
USC
71%
18%
12%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
VIC
1 - 1
CTT
41%
25%
33%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
SAL
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
PIS
1 - 0
NOV
32%
28%
41%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 2
TRA
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
LAT
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
JUS
72%
18%
10%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |