Cittadella vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
CTT
0 - 0
LAZ
14%
23%
63%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
PAV
0 - 1
CTT
58%
24%
19%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
PIZ
1 - 1
CTT
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
CTT
1 - 1
GEN
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2005 |
RAV
0 - 0
CTT
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2006 |
NOV
2 - 2
SSS
46%
27%
28%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
NOV
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 1
RAV
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
NOV
3 - 0
GIU
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
FER
2 - 4
NOV
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |