Cittadella vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
39.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 1
PAD
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 0
CTT
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
CTT
0 - 3
PAV
60%
22%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 0
CTT
38%
28%
34%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
NOV
2 - 0
PRO
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ARZ
2 - 1
NOV
40%
25%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASL
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 2
NOV
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
ACL
2 - 1
NOV
39%
25%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |