Cittadella vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
MOD
4 - 2
CTT
72%
19%
10%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
CTT
2 - 2
TER
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2001 |
SAM
2 - 1
CTT
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2001 |
CTT
0 - 1
BAR
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
CTT
0 - 2
CAG
28%
26%
47%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
MES
1 - 1
SAM
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
PAR
1 - 2
MES
77%
16%
7%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | +2 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
PIS
2 - 1
MES
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2001 |
REG
0 - 0
MES
58%
26%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
MES
2 - 1
NAP
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |