Cittadella vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 3
CTT
50%
27%
24%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CTT
3 - 1
NOV
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 1
PAD
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
SPA
1 - 0
CTT
46%
27%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 0
PRO
48%
27%
25%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
SAS
1 - 1
ASL
33%
30%
37%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ASL
2 - 1
ACP
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ASL
2 - 1
REG
42%
28%
30%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
NOV
1 - 1
ASL
65%
21%
14%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |