Cittadella vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
EMP
2 - 0
CTT
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CTT
0 - 1
VIC
54%
26%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FRO
1 - 1
CTT
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CTT
0 - 0
SIE
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
NOV
2 - 2
CTT
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASC
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 0
NOV
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
LIV
21%
27%
52%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
LIV
0 - 1
VIC
63%
22%
14%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
SIE
4 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |