Cittadella vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
0 - 0
TER
24%
23%
53%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
CTT
3 - 2
MOD
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
SOR
2 - 1
CTT
35%
30%
35%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CTT
2 - 0
FER
60%
23%
17%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
VIR
1 - 1
CTT
41%
29%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
FCC
0 - 0
LIV
19%
23%
59%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
LIV
3 - 0
FOR
87%
9%
3%
|
75 | 35 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
MES
1 - 1
LIV
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
LIV
2 - 2
JUV
17%
25%
58%
|
75 | 91 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
INT
1 - 0
LIV
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |