Cittadella vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
EMP
4 - 3
CTT
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
CTT
2 - 1
VIC
50%
27%
24%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
REG
1 - 1
CTT
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
CTT
1 - 1
GRO
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
CES
1 - 0
CTT
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LEC
2 - 1
MAN
61%
24%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 4
LEC
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LEC
0 - 0
CRO
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
MOD
0 - 0
LEC
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
LEC
1 - 3
FRO
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |