Cittadella vs Foligno Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
VNZ
1 - 1
CTT
44%
28%
29%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
LEC
0 - 0
CTT
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
CTT
6 - 0
SSM
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
PRO
1 - 2
CTT
25%
29%
46%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
CTT
2 - 0
PRO
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 2
NOV
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 0
USF
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
VER
1 - 1
FOL
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
FOL
1 - 0
TER
47%
26%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
PAG
2 - 0
FOL
35%
27%
39%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | -1 |