Cittadella vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
CTT
3 - 0
PAD
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
ACE
1 - 4
CTT
4%
14%
82%
|
71 | 25 | 46 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CTT
1 - 2
POR
73%
16%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
BEN
2 - 0
CTT
50%
24%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
CTT
6 - 0
TRE
93%
7%
1%
|
71 | 19 | 52 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
LIV
0 - 1
CAR
41%
26%
33%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
CAR
2 - 3
VNZ
38%
28%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
LIV
1 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
USC
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 5
CAR
59%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +2 |