Cittadella vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
USF
1 - 1
CTT
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
CTT
4 - 1
PES
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 1
CTT
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
CTT
4 - 1
LEC
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 0
CTT
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
PAD
0 - 1
PRG
22%
26%
51%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SPE
0 - 2
PAD
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
PAD
0 - 0
CRO
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
PAD
1 - 1
BRE
21%
26%
52%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
PES
2 - 0
PAD
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |