Cittadella vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
AVE
0 - 2
CTT
29%
27%
44%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
CTT
3 - 1
USF
51%
23%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SAL
1 - 3
CTT
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
CTT
0 - 0
PAL
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 0
CTT
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 2
FRO
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SAL
4 - 2
BRE
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BRE
0 - 0
CES
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
SPE
0 - 1
BRE
51%
27%
23%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BRE
1 - 1
CAR
44%
29%
27%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |