Cittadella vs Brescello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
CTT
1 - 1
LIV
38%
26%
37%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
COM
0 - 0
CTT
53%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Brescello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
BRE
1 - 1
COM
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
VAR
1 - 1
BRE
57%
23%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
JUV
4 - 0
BRE
95%
4%
1%
|
50 | 93 | 43 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1997 |
BRE
1 - 1
JUV
6%
19%
76%
|
50 | 93 | 43 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1997 |
ASL
1 - 1
BRE
75%
17%
8%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +1 |