Cittadella vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
TRI
0 - 0
CTT
52%
24%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
REG
0 - 0
CTT
30%
27%
43%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
VER
1 - 0
CTT
72%
17%
11%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2002 |
CTT
3 - 1
TRE
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2002 |
CTT
2 - 1
PIS
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 0
ABN
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACL
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
VNZ
2 - 1
SPE
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 3
VIC
39%
25%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
ABN
1 - 1
SPE
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |