Cittadella vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
22.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
USA
0 - 1
CTT
19%
26%
55%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
CTT
2 - 2
COM
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
PRG
1 - 1
CTT
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
TER
1 - 1
CTT
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CTT
2 - 0
PIS
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
ASC
0 - 0
PAR
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
REG
1 - 2
ASC
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 1
ASS
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
ASC
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 1
VIC
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |