Cittadella vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
CTT
3 - 1
PAD
50%
27%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SAS
1 - 1
CTT
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
CTT
2 - 0
LIV
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
EMP
2 - 0
CTT
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
CTT
0 - 1
VIC
54%
26%
21%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 1
ATL
32%
28%
40%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
LIV
1 - 1
ASC
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ASC
1 - 0
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
EMP
1 - 0
ASC
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ASC
3 - 1
PIA
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |