Cittadella vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
30.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
CTT
2 - 0
PAD
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CTT
2 - 0
RIM
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
FRO
1 - 0
CTT
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CTT
2 - 2
PAR
23%
27%
51%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 0
CTT
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
ASC
3 - 1
CRO
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
ASC
2 - 3
LIV
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
TRE
1 - 1
ASC
34%
28%
39%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
ASC
0 - 2
SAL
66%
21%
13%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
EMP
3 - 0
ASC
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |