Cittadella vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2012 |
LIV
1 - 2
CTT
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 3
ASC
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
CTT
2 - 1
ASG
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2012 |
VER
3 - 2
CTT
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 2
SAM
30%
29%
41%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
1 - 3
GRO
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MOD
2 - 2
VAR
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 1
PES
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
JUS
2 - 0
VAR
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
VAR
2 - 0
REG
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |