Cittadella vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
SAS
0 - 1
CTT
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CTT
0 - 1
ACP
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SPE
1 - 0
CTT
46%
27%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
CTT
4 - 2
REG
49%
25%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CES
2 - 1
CTT
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 0
ACL
34%
29%
38%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
VAR
0 - 2
ASL
39%
30%
32%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
PAD
1 - 1
VAR
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
NOV
1 - 0
VAR
71%
19%
11%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 0
PIS
38%
29%
33%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |