Cittadella vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
REG
1 - 0
CTT
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
CTT
0 - 0
SIE
33%
28%
39%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
LEC
1 - 1
CTT
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
BRE
2 - 0
CTT
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
CTT
0 - 2
PIS
34%
29%
38%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
VAR
3 - 1
ACL
65%
22%
14%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
LIV
0 - 0
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
VAR
2 - 1
COM
51%
27%
21%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
VAR
2 - 1
SAN
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
USC
0 - 0
VAR
38%
28%
34%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |