Cittadella vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
18.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
USI
0 - 0
CTT
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
CTT
0 - 1
PIS
56%
27%
17%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
VNZ
2 - 0
CTT
47%
27%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
PIZ
0 - 0
CTT
30%
28%
42%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
CTT
0 - 0
GRO
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
PAV
1 - 1
PRO
45%
27%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
USC
1 - 1
PAV
53%
26%
21%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
PAV
0 - 2
PIS
39%
29%
32%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2007 |
NOV
3 - 0
PAV
51%
26%
23%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 1
PAV
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |