Cittadella vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
CES
4 - 1
CTT
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CTT
3 - 1
SPE
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
TRI
0 - 0
CTT
52%
24%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
REG
0 - 0
CTT
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
VER
1 - 0
CTT
72%
17%
11%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ACL
1 - 1
PIS
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 2
ACL
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACL
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
PAD
4 - 1
ACL
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
ACL
0 - 4
SPA
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |