Cittadella vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
NOV
1 - 0
CTT
40%
27%
34%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
CTT
1 - 1
PRG
45%
26%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
FRO
2 - 1
CTT
53%
24%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CTT
3 - 2
ASC
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
BOL
0 - 3
CTT
66%
19%
15%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
CES
3 - 1
AVE
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TER
1 - 0
CES
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CES
0 - 0
VNZ
67%
21%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 0
CES
37%
28%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
GEN
2 - 1
CES
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |