Cittadella vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
VIR
3 - 2
CTT
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
CTT
2 - 2
CRO
43%
27%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
GRO
3 - 1
CTT
40%
25%
34%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 1
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
ASC
4 - 1
CTT
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
TER
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
CES
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CES
3 - 1
VIC
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
SAS
5 - 0
CES
64%
22%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 3
CES
22%
28%
50%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |