AS Cervia vs Ascoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.4%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
74.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.4%
0-3
10.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2006 |
EMP
1 - 2
ASC
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ASC
1 - 4
LAZ
25%
27%
49%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
TRE
2 - 2
ASC
33%
29%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ASC
2 - 2
CAG
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
REG
2 - 0
ASC
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |