AS Castello vs Ascona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LUZ
0 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
VED
2 - 2
CAS
40%
22%
38%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
TAV
4 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
19%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 1
ESC
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
PER
0 - 1
CAS
39%
23%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VED
2 - 0
ASC
30%
23%
48%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
ZOF
2 - 0
ASC
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ASC
3 - 2
GOL
27%
22%
51%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
IBA
0 - 0
ASC
52%
24%
24%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ASC
1 - 2
LUG
39%
25%
36%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |