Cannes vs Marignane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
MON
0 - 0
CAN
29%
26%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 1
CON
68%
20%
12%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
BEZ
4 - 2
CAN
23%
26%
51%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
CAN
4 - 0
HYE
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAE
3 - 1
CAN
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAR
37%
28%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
MAR
60%
24%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
PAU
32%
29%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
MON
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +4 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CON
2 - 0
MAR
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |