Cannes vs Marignane Gignac II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
12.4%
5.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
3º
1º
16
12º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 0
SCR
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
CAN
31%
26%
43%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 1
CAN
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 0
EUA
76%
16%
8%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GAZ
2 - 1
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Marignane Gignac II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
RSV
21%
20%
60%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
MAR
76%
14%
10%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
14%
17%
69%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LUC
3 - 0
MAR
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
24 | 46 | 22 | +1 |