Cannes vs Gap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GDB
0 - 2
CAN
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 2
LEP
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
UZE
3 - 2
CAN
25%
27%
48%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 1
COL
70%
21%
10%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
CAN
3 - 0
PAU
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GAP
0 - 1
TAR
49%
25%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ROD
2 - 0
GAP
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
GAP
2 - 1
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
GAP
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
GAP
0 - 1
CON
71%
18%
12%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |