Cannes vs Gap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
14.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
PFC
1 - 1
CAN
47%
26%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
CAN
2 - 1
COL
66%
22%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BAS
0 - 0
CAN
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 0
NIO
53%
26%
20%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
GUI
4 - 0
CAN
67%
21%
13%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Gap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2011 |
GAP
1 - 1
STR
22%
25%
53%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
BAY
3 - 0
GAP
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
GAP
1 - 3
FCR
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2011 |
GAP
1 - 0
PAC
38%
27%
36%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
ROD
1 - 2
GAP
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |