Bron Grand Lyon vs Sud Nivernais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
77.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.3%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sud Nivernais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SUD
3 - 0
BAS
15%
23%
62%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
SAI
3 - 0
SUD
41%
24%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
SUD
0 - 5
THI
42%
27%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
SUD
1 - 3
MON
13%
22%
66%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
MAC
5 - 1
SUD
35%
25%
41%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -2 |