Beauvais Oise vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
34.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beauvais Oise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2002 |
MET
1 - 0
ASB
68%
21%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
ASB
0 - 1
LOR
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
AMI
2 - 0
ASB
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
ASB
0 - 0
TFC
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
REI
0 - 0
ASB
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
LOR
2 - 0
CAE
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
CAE
1 - 1
REI
62%
23%
16%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
FCG
1 - 1
CAE
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CAE
2 - 0
AMI
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
GRE
2 - 2
CAE
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |