SSC Bari vs Triestina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
27.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
LIV
1 - 1
BAR
51%
24%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 2
ASC
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
VIC
1 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
GEN
2 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
34%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 1
ABN
55%
25%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Triestina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2003 |
TRI
2 - 2
VER
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
ATL
4 - 1
TRI
67%
21%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
TRI
2 - 1
AVE
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
TRI
0 - 0
NAP
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
PES
1 - 0
TRI
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |