SSC Bari vs Grosseto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PES
1 - 2
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
0 - 0
JUS
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
EMP
1 - 0
BAR
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
REG
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
BAR
1 - 1
CRO
64%
23%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Grosseto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 2
SAS
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
GRO
60%
24%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
2 - 2
CTT
52%
25%
24%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 1
GRO
38%
28%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
GRO
0 - 3
TOR
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |