SSC Bari vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAV
76%
16%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2014 |
LAT
2 - 2
BAR
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 2
LAT
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2014 |
CRO
0 - 3
BAR
42%
25%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 1
NOV
50%
26%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 0
VNZ
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2014 |
PAD
2 - 1
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
AVE
3 - 0
REG
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
MOD
1 - 0
AVE
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
AVE
3 - 3
TRA
41%
26%
33%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |