SSC Bari vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ASC
1 - 3
BAR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 1
CTT
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
PRG
4 - 1
BAR
13%
22%
65%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
LIV
0 - 0
BAR
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BAR
3 - 0
ASG
70%
20%
10%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TER
0 - 1
MOD
36%
28%
36%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 0
TER
34%
32%
34%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CTT
1 - 0
TER
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
TER
2 - 0
TRA
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
SPE
2 - 1
TER
47%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |