SSC Bari vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
VER
4 - 3
BAR
49%
26%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
TRE
1 - 1
BAR
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 1
TOR
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
BAR
0 - 3
TER
70%
19%
11%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -4 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 2
BAR
19%
22%
59%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
PAL
2 - 1
TER
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
TER
3 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2003 |
ABN
1 - 2
TER
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
TER
0 - 3
ANC
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -3 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
TER
1 - 2
SSS
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | -1 |