SSC Bari vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
23.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
FCC
2 - 3
BAR
68%
22%
10%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
BAR
1 - 1
PAL
47%
30%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
BAR
2 - 1
CES
39%
32%
30%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
CAG
3 - 1
BAR
74%
18%
8%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
BAR
1 - 3
ASC
38%
32%
31%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 1977 |
TER
2 - 1
PAL
52%
28%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1977 |
TAR
1 - 2
TER
55%
28%
18%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TER
1 - 1
VAR
48%
28%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
COM
0 - 1
TER
50%
29%
21%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
SSS
1 - 0
TER
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |