SSC Bari vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
43.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
BOL
3 - 1
BAR
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
BAR
2 - 1
VER
40%
31%
29%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
SAM
0 - 0
BAR
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
ATL
1 - 0
BAR
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
BAR
1 - 1
FIO
35%
30%
35%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1989 |
ROM
4 - 1
ATL
62%
23%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1989 |
GEN
0 - 2
ROM
24%
29%
47%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1989 |
ROM
0 - 0
ASC
63%
23%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1989 |
ROM
4 - 0
PAL
86%
10%
4%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1989 |
UDI
1 - 1
ROM
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | -1 |